Ham, Dae Woong, Kosuke Imai, and Lucas Janson. (2024). ``Using Machine Learning to Test Causal Hypotheses in Conjoint Analysis." Political Analysis, Vol. 32, No. 3 (July), pp. 329-344.

 

  Abstract

Conjoint analysis is a popular experimental design used to measure multidimensional preferences. Many researchers focus on estimating the average marginal effects of each factor while averaging over the other factors. Although this allows for straightforward design-based estimation, the results critically depend on the ways in which factors interact with one another. An alternative model-based approach can compute various quantities of interest, but requires correct model specifications, a challenging task for conjoint analysis with many factors. We propose a new hypothesis testing approach based on the conditional randomization test (CRT) to answer the most fundamental question of conjoint analysis: Does a factor of interest matter in any way given the other factors? Although it only provides a formal test of these binary questions, the CRT is solely based on the randomization of factors, and hence requires no modeling assumption. This means that the CRT can provide a powerful and assumption-free statistical test by enabling the use of any test statistic, including those based on complex machine learning algorithms. We also show how to test commonly used regularity assumptions. Finally, we apply the proposed methodology to conjoint analysis of immigration preferences. An open-source software package is available for implementing the proposed methodology. he proposed methodology is implemented via an open-source software R package CRTConjoint, available through the Comprehensive R Archive Network.

  Related Papers

Egami, Naoki, and Kosuke Imai. (2019). ``Causal Interaction in Factorial Experiments: Application to Conjoint Analysis.'' Journal of the American Statistical Association, Vol. 114, No. 526 (June), pp. 529-540.
de la Cuesta, Brandon, Naoki Egami, and Kosuke Imai. (2022). ``Improving the External Validity of Conjoint Analysis: The Essential Role of Profile Distribution.'' Political Analysis, Vol. 30, No. 1 (January), pp. 19-45.
Goplerud, Max, Kosuke Imai, Nicole E. Pashley. (2025). ``Estimating Heterogeneous Causal Effects of High-Dimensional Treatments: Application to Conjoint Analysis.'' Annals of Applied Statistics, Vol. 19, No. 2 (June), pp. 866-888.

© Kosuke Imai
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