Chattopadhyay, Ambarish, Kosuke Imai, and Jose R. Zubizarreta. (2024). ``Design-based inference for generalized network experiments with stochastic interventions.''
A growing number of scholars and data scientists are conducting randomized experiments to analyze causal relationships in network settings where units influence one another. A dominant methodology for analyzing these network experiments has been design-based, leveraging randomization of treatment assignment as the basis for inference. In this paper, we generalize this design-based approach so that it can be applied to more complex experiments with a variety of causal estimands with different target populations. An important special case of such generalized network experiments is a bipartite network experiment, in which the treatment assignment is randomized among one set of units and the outcome is measured for a separate set of units. We propose a broad class of causal estimands based on stochastic intervention for generalized network experiments. Using a design-based approach, we show how to estimate the proposed causal quantities without bias, and develop conservative variance estimators. We apply our methodology to a randomized experiment in education where a group of selected students in middle schools are eligible for the anti-conflict promotion program, and the program participation is randomized within this group. In particular, our analysis estimates the causal effects of treating each student or his/her close friends, for different target populations in the network. We find that while the treatment improves the overall awareness against conflict among students, it does not significantly reduce the total number of conflicts. |
Malani, Anup, Cynthia Kinnan, Gabriella Conti, Kosuke Imai, Morgen Miller, Shailender Swaminathan, Alessandra Voena, and Bartosz Woda
``Evaluating and Pricing Health Insurance in Lower-Income Countries: A Field Experiment in India.''
American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, Forthcoming.
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Zhou, Lingxiao, Kosuke Imai, Jason Lyall, and Georgia Papadogeorgou
(2026).
``Dynamic Policy Evaluation and Learning with Spatio-temporal Data.''
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Lo, Adeline, Santiago Olivella, and Kosuke Imai
(2026).
``A Statistical Model of Bipartite Networks: Application to Cosponsorship in the United States Senate.''
Political Analysis, Vol. 34, No. 3 (July 2026), pp. 451-470.
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Sengupta, Souhardya, Kosuke Imai, and Georgia Papadogeorgou
(2025).
``Low-rank Covariate Balancing Estimators under Interference.''
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Jiang, Zhichao, Kosuke Imai, and Anup Malani
(2023).
``Statistical Inference and Power Analysis for Direct and Spillover Effects in Two-Stage Randomized Experiments.''
Biometrics, Vol. 79, No. 3 (September), pp. 2370-2381.
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Bertsimas, Dimitris, Kosuke Imai, and Michael Lingzhi Li
(2023).
``Distributionally Robust Causal Inference with Observational Data.''
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Olivella, Santiago, Tyler Pratt, and Kosuke Imai
(2022).
``Dynamic Stochastic Blockmodel Regression for Network Data: Application to International Militarized Conflicts.''
Journal of the American Statistical Association, Vol. 117, No. 539, pp. 1068-1081.
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Imai, Kosuke, Zhichao Jiang, and Anup Malani
(2021).
``Causal Inference with Interference and Noncompliance in Two-Stage Randomized Experiments.''
Journal of the American Statistical Association, Vol. 116, No. 534, pp. 632-644.
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Imai, Kosuke, and Zhichao Jiang
(2020).
``Identification and Sensitivity Analysis of Contagion Effects in Randomized Placebo-Controlled Trials.''
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series A (Statistics in Society), Vol. 183, No. 4 (October), pp. 1637-1657.
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Kim, In Song, Steven Liao, and Kosuke Imai
(2020).
``Measuring Trade Profile with Granular Product-level Trade Data.''
American Journal of Political Science, Vol. 64, No. 1 (January), pp. 102-117.
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